PMP項目管理：項目風險管理練習題４

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1．When the risk event probabilities are multiplied by their respective estimated risk event values (in dollars) and are then added together, the sum represents the:
A．Project manager ’s risk aversion quotient
B．Total project risk events
C．Expected monetary value of the project’s risk
D．Scope planning
當風險事件概率乘以他們相應的風險事件估計價值 ( 以美元計) ,然后加在一起的總和表示:
A．項目經(jīng)理的風險厭惡系數(shù)
B．總的項目風險事件
C．項目風險的預期估價
D．范圍規(guī)劃

2．Which of the following utility functions reflect risk aversion?
A．Uniform
B．Increasing rate
C．Decreasing rate
D．Exponential
下列哪一個效用函數(shù)反映著厭惡風險?
A．一致性
B．遞增比率
C．遞減比率
D．指數(shù)

3． A project manager states, “I know that the risk exists and am aware of the possible consequences．I am willing to wait and see what happens．I accept the consequences should they occur．” He /she is exercising the method of risk reduction．
A．Transfer
B．Avoidance
C．Mitigation
D．Assumption
某項目經(jīng)理說,"我知道有風險存在,而且注意到其可能的后果我愿意等著看會發(fā)生什么事萬一他們確實發(fā)生,我接受其結(jié)果" 他對于減少風險是在用什么方式
A．轉(zhuǎn)移
B．回避
C．降低
D．接受

4． A project manager states, “I will take the necessary measures required to control this risk by continuously reevaluating it and developing contingency plans or fall-back positions．If the risk event occurs, I will take the appropriate actions.” He/she is exercising the method of risk reduction．
A．Transfer
B．Avoidance
C．Mitigation
D．Acceptance
某項目經(jīng)理人說," 我將會采取必要的措施去控制風險, 通過不斷地反復評估風險, 制定應變計劃或重做
如果風險事件確實發(fā)生, 我將會采取適當?shù)男袆?該經(jīng)理是在運用什么方式去減少風險
A．轉(zhuǎn)移
B．回避
C．降低
D．接受

5．If a project manager has a very low tolerance for risk, he is said to be:
A．Risk averse
B．Risk tolerant
C．Risk reluctant
D．Methodical
如果一個項目經(jīng)理對風險難以忍受,,他是:
A．厭惡風險的
B．能承受風險的
C．不愿意有風險的
D．有辦法的

6．If the minimum payoffs of four different strategies A1, A2, A3, and A4 are –10, 15, 0, and –20 respectively, which strategy would a project manager choose, using the “maximin” or Wald criteria (risk avoide r)?
A．Strategy A1
B．Strategy A2
C．Strategy A3
D．Strategy A4
如果四個不同的策略 A1 A2 A3 和 A4 的最小報酬分別是-10,15,0, 和-20, 用” 最小最大化”或Wald 標準(避免風險), 項目經(jīng)理會選擇哪一個策略?
A．策略 A1
B．策略 A2
C．策略 A3
D．策略 A4

7．The iterative process that helps determine those risks that might affect the project and documenting their characteristics is known as:
A．Risk identification
B．Risk-handing
C．Lessons learned
D．Risk analysis
反復檢查,以幫助決定哪些風險會影響項目,并記錄風險的特性.這個過程被稱為是:
A．風險識別
B．風險處理
C．經(jīng)驗教訓學習
D．風險分析

8．Based on the data in the table below, which strategy has the highest expected value?
A．S1
B．S2
C．S3
D．S4
Payoff Table (Profit in Millions)
Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25%
S1 　　　　　　80 　　 　　　　50 　　　　　　120
S2 　　　　　　80 　　 　　　　80 　　　　　　　80
S3 　　　　　　160 　　 　　　120 　　　　　　-20
S4 　　　　　　20 　　 　　　　40 　　　　　　20
S5 　　　　　　-20 　　 　　　　0 　　　　　　-60
基于下表數(shù)據(jù)計算, 哪一策略有最高的期望值?
A．S1
B．S2
C．S3
D．S4

9．Risk can have a positive or negative impact on a project．Future events or outcomes that are favor able are called:
A．Risks
B．Opportunities
C．Benefits
D．Contingencies
風險對項目可能有正面或負面的影響
未來的事件或結(jié)果是有利的被稱為:
A．風險
B．機會
C．受益
D．意外事件

10．Using the figure below, what is the probability that project1 will be selected and completed successfully?
A．50%
B．30%
C．60%
D．40%
用下面數(shù)字計算,項目1 將會被選擇并且成功完成的概率是多少?
A．50%
B．30%
C．60%
D．40%